#Avocadoexports #Kenyaagriculture #Indianmarketaccess #globalavocadotrade #agriculturetrends #avocadoproduction #internationaltrade #small-scalefarmers #agriculturalgrowth
Imboni kakotapheya yaseKenya kulindeleke ukuthi iqhakaze kakhulu njengoba ilungiselela ukuthumela ukwatapheya eNdiya ngoSepthemba. Lesi sihloko sidingida imininingwane yale ntuthuko ethokozisayo, egqamisa izinzuzo ezingaba khona kubalimi baseKenya, ukuhlola isimo samanje sokuthekelisa ukwatapheya, futhi sikhanyisele amathrendi emakethe kakotapheya emhlabeni wonke.
I-Kenya, evame ukubizwa ngokuthi "Izwe Lokotapheya," ikulungele ukwenza uphawu olubalulekile ekuhwebeni kukakotapheya emhlabeni jikelele. Njengoba imakethe yaseNdiya ivulwa ukuze kuthengiswe ukwatapheya waseKenya ngoSepthemba, abalimi besizwe banethuba elijabulisayo lokwandisa ukutshala kwabo ukwatapheya, okuholela emalini eningi, ukwanda kwamathuba emisebenzi emapulazini, kanye nohlu lwezinzuzo ezansi nomfula.
Izindawo Zokuthekelisa Ukwatapheya
Ngaphambi kokuthi singene emakethe ye-avocado yase-Kenya, ake sibhekisise izindawo zamanje zokuthunyelwa kokwatapheya baseKenya. I-European Union, ehlanganisa amazwe afana ne-Netherlands, i-France, i-Spain, i-UK, ne-Germany, ngokomlando ibiyimakethe enkulu, ibala u-60% wokuthengiswa kwe-avocado yaseKenya. Kuyathakazelisa ukuthi e-Europe, ukwatapheya manje usudlule amagilebhisi ukuze ube yisithelo sesibili esibaluleke kakhulu esithengwa emazweni asathuthuka, ngokusho kwedatha etholakalayo.
Ngaphezu kwe-EU, iKenya iphinde ithumele ukwatapheya emazweni afana ne-UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, kanye neRussian Federation, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, kanye neGeorgia.
Ingqophamlando Yokuthekelisa Ukwatapheya waseKenya
Ingqophamlando ebalulekile yokuthola ukufinyelela emakethe yaseNdiya kube isiphetho sezingxoxo zezingxoxo ezithathe iminyaka emihlanu phakathi kweKenya neNdiya. Le mpumelelo iza ngemuva kokungena ngempumelelo kweKenya ezimakethe zaseShayina naseMauritius, nezingxoxo eziqhubekayo mayelana nokufinyelela ezimakethe ezinemali eningi zase-USA kanye neNingizimu Korea.
Ukuqinisekisa ikhwalithi yokuthekelisa ukwatapheya, abalimi baseKenya kudingeka basebenzise izindlela zokulawula izinambuzane ezifana nokufuthwa nge-Methyl bromide noma ukwelashwa okubandayo njengezinye izindlela. Ukuthunyelwa kokuqala okuya e-India kuzothunyelwa ngesikhwama senxusa, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okulandelayo kuzobandakanya ukusebenzisana ne-Kenya Plant Health Inspectorate Service (KEPHIS).
I-Global Avocado Market Outlook
Ngokombiko we-Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) kanye neNhlangano Yezokudla Nezolimo yeNhlangano Yezizwe Ezihlangene (FAO) enesihloko esithi “Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030,” ukwatapheya kulindeleke ukuthi ube isithelo esidayiswa kakhulu emhlabeni ngo-2030. Ukukhiqizwa kukakotapheya , ikakhulukazi eKenya, ibone ukukhula okusheshayo eminyakeni yamuva nje futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ihlale iyisithelo esikhulu esikhula ngokushesha kakhulu emazingeni ashisayo ngo-2021-2023.
E-Kenya, ukukhiqizwa kukakotapheya kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele emathani amangalisayo ayizigidi eziyi-12 ngo-2030, futhi amathani afinyelela ku-3.9 wezigidi abekelwe ukudayiswa ngaphandle. Lokhu kuzodlula ukuthunyelwa kwamaphayinaphu nomango, okuqhutshwa ikakhulukazi isidingo esinamandla somhlaba wonke kanye namanani avumayo okuthekelisa.
I-Global Avocado Production Landscape
Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi amazwe aphezulu ayi-10 akhiqiza ukwatapheya ehlangene ahlanganisa cishe u-80% wokukhiqizwa komhlaba wonke. Ngo-2030, cishe u-74% walo mkhiqizo kulindeleke ukuthi uhlale ugxile eLatin America naseCaribbean, ngenxa yesimo sezulu esihle.
I-Mexico, engumkhiqizi omkhulukazi emhlabeni wonke kanye nomthumeli wezokwatapheya kwamanye amazwe, isilungele ukubona ukukhula konyaka okungama-5.2% kule minyaka eyishumi ezayo, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokukhula okuqhubekayo kwesidingo sase-US. I-Mexico kulindeleke ukuthi inyuse isabelo sayo sempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle iye ku-63% ngo-2030, naphezu kokuncintisana okuvela kubathumeli bangaphandle abasha abafana nePeru, Colombia, neKenya.
Ukunyuka Okumangalisayo KwaseKenya
Imboni kakotapheya yaseKenya ibone ukukhula kwe-meteoric, nokukhiqizwa okuphindwe kabili eminyakeni emihlanu edlule. Ngokwezibalo zakamuva ezisemthethweni ze-FAO, iKenya manje isingeyesithupha ngobukhulu emhlabeni ngokukhiqiza ukwatapheya. Izwe liziqhenya ngendawo etshaliwe ecishe ibe ngamahektha ayizi-26,000 kanye nokukhiqizwa kwamathani angu-417,000 we-metric ngo-2021, okumelela ukukhula okuphindwe kabili uma kuqhathaniswa no-2016.
Lokhu kukhula okumangalisayo, okulinganiselwa ku-20% ngonyaka, kungabangelwa ukwanda kwamasimu kakotapheya (ngesilinganiso sika-14% ngonyaka) kanye nesivuno esikhulayo (cishe u-6%). Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi lo mkhakha usagcwele kakhulu abalimi abasafufusa abanamahektha angaphansi kwama-2, abanegalelo elicishe libe ngama-70% okukhiqizwa kukakwatapheya wezwe, okungaphezulu kwama-23% athunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.
Ukungena kweKenya emakethe kakwatapheya waseNdiya kumelela ithuba elithembisayo kubalimi bezwe lokukhulisa ukukhiqizwa kwabo kukakotapheya kanye nemali engenayo yokuthekelisa kwamanye amazwe. Njengoba isidingo somhlaba wonke sikakotapheya silokhu sikhula, imboni kakotapheya yaseKenya izodlondlobala, okuyenza ibe ngumdlali obalulekile ekuhwebeni kukakotapheya emhlabeni. Ngokuphathwa ngokucophelela nokunamathela ezindinganisweni zekhwalithi, umkhakha kakotapheya waseKenya usendleleni yokukhula ngendlela emangalisayo, ezuzisa abalimi kanye nomnotho kazwelonke.